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external validity

What It Means

External validity is about whether your AI model or system will work in the real world beyond the specific conditions where you tested it. It's the difference between a model that performs well in your lab or on your test data versus one that actually delivers results when deployed across different customers, markets, or time periods.

Why Chief AI Officers Care

Poor external validity means your AI investments may fail spectacularly when deployed, leading to customer complaints, revenue loss, and damaged reputation. It directly impacts your ability to scale AI solutions across different business units, geographies, or customer segments, which affects your ROI and strategic AI roadmap.

Real-World Example

A fraud detection model trained on credit card transactions from urban millennials might achieve 95% accuracy in testing, but completely fail when deployed to detect fraud among rural seniors who have different spending patterns, transaction amounts, and merchant preferences.

Common Confusion

People often confuse external validity with internal validity - thinking that because their model has high accuracy on test data, it will work everywhere. External validity specifically focuses on generalizability across different real-world conditions, not just technical performance metrics.

Industry-Specific Applications

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Healthcare: In healthcare AI, external validity determines whether your diagnostic or predictive model trained on one hospital's dat...

Finance: In finance, external validity determines whether AI models trained on historical data or specific market conditions will...

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Technical Definitions

NISTNational Institute of Standards and Technology
"the extent to which the results of research or testing can be generalized beyond the sample that generated them. The more specialized the sample, the less likely will it be that the results are highly generalizable to other individuals, situations, and time periods."
Source: APA_external_validity

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